Match Analysis

Reason For Sporting Lisbon vs Sporting Braga Betting Tips

• The last two meetings between Sporting and Braga produced under 2.5 goals
• Four of Sporting’s last six matches have produced under 2.5 goals
• Sporting have won four of their last six matches and Braga have lost their last two away games

Sporting to Edge Tight and Tense League Cup Final

Sporting have had an extra day to rest, recuperate and prepare for the League Cup final as they defeated Porto 2-1 a day earlier than Braga beat Benfica by the very same scoreline. Despite a trophy-laden history, Sporting have only won this competition twice before, 2018 and 2019, and Braga have also claimed the League Cup on two occasions, 2013 and 2020.

As the holders of the trophy, Braga will head into Saturday’s final with plenty of confidence, but Sporting have been the team to beat in Portugal this season and top the Primeira Liga table. Sporting have had the better of Braga in recent seasons, winning four and losing two of the pair’s last six meetings in all competitions. The last two encounters between the pair both produced under 2.5 goals, so we could well be in for a tight and tense final this weekend.

Sporting haven’t won or lost by more than a two-goal margin in their last six matches and four of those games have produced under 2.5 goals, which points towards Saturday’s clash being a closely fought contest. All bar one of Braga’s last five outings have been decided by a 2-goal margin or lower, with the only exception being their 5-0 win over lower=league side Torreense in the Taca de Portugal.

Sporting edge the form guide with four wins, one draw and one defeat from their last six matches, while Braga have been defeated in each of their last two away trips. With that in mind, we’re backing Saturday’s final to produce under 2.5 goals and for Sporting to claim a narrow 1-0 win.

Match Odds

Home win: 2.52

Away win: 2.93

Draw: 3.10

Over 2.5 goals: 1.93

Under 2.5 goals: 1.88