Australian A-League Australian A-League

Parma vs Milan

Match previews

Sunday, 01 Dec 2019 14:00

Our Predictions

Parma vs AC Milan Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Parma vs AC Milan this is our Prediction:

AC Milan for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 48%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 55%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 1-2 which has a percentage of 19%.

Reason For Parma vs Milan Betting Tips

Could things go from bad to worse for Milan in this clash with Parma on Sunday? The visitors are under huge pressure during this terrible campaign, with their chances of finally returning to the Champions League looking slim. Stefano Pioli is yet to inspire the turnaround which Milan expected while taking positives from a run of one point in three games shows how far the Rossoneri have fallen.

It’s not been a bad campaign for Parma, who are impressing in their home clashes. Parma have won four of their seven league games at Tardini Stadium this season (L3) – in the 21st century only twice have they won more games at this stage of the season at home in Serie A: five wins in 2009/10 under Guidolin and in 2002/03 under Prandelli. That form has taken them into the top eight in Serie A, four points clear of Milan.

Milan have picked up only 14 points this season, their joint-fewest at this stage of a Serie A campaign in the three points for a win era – 14 points also in 2013/14 (a season in which they finished 8th). However, things could be even worse. Milan have a league goal difference of -5 (12 goals scored, 17 conceded) only twice previously have the Rossoneri had a worse goal difference at this stage in the Italian top-flight, in 1930/31 and 1981/82 (when they relegated at the end of the season). They certainly aren’t on course for the top four, with things falling apart in typical Milan style. Will their troubles get worse in this trip to the Tardini?

The Rossoneri have been poor in recent outings. Milan have picked up only one point in their last three games, they could go four league games without a win for the first time this season. They’ve lost out to the likes of Lazio and Juventus in that time, but Milan aren’t exclusively losing to the top teams. They’ve lost to Fiorentina, Torino and Udinese this term, sides who all trail Parma.

We can see Parma finishing on top when these two meet this weekend. Milan have lost the most points (six) with goals conceded in the last 20 minutes of play in Serie A this season. Parma are yet to lose a point during this period of play. The visitors have certainly thrown away enough results, while Parma have won four of their last five home Serie A games.

We’re going for the hosts to win on the Draw No Bet market, with Parma losing once in six and Milan winning only one clash with a side outside the bottom three. On top of that, we’re backing another narrow loss for the visitors, who have been beaten by a single goal in each of their trips this term. As a result, we’re going with a 2-1 home victory as our correct score prediction.

Match Odds

Home win: 3.57

Away win: 2.11

Draw: 3.37

Over 2.5 goals: 2.00

Under 2.5 goals: 1.81