Italian Serie A Italian Serie A

Milan vs Sassuolo

Match previews

Sunday, 15 Dec 2019 14:00

Our Predictions

AC Milan vs Sassuolo Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match AC Milan vs Sassuolo this is our Prediction:

AC Milan for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 63%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 60%.

Reason For Milan vs Sassuolo Betting Tips

  • Only three teams have accumulated less home points than AC Milan in Serie A this season.
  • Only three teams have conceded less shots on target than Sassuolo on the road this term.
  • Sassuolo haven’t beaten AC Milan since 2016. They’ve since lost five out of six against Sunday’s hosts.

Milan improving?

It’s certainly not been a vintage season for AC Milan, who for some time now have struggled to break in Serie A’s elite group, though they do come into this game on the up.

After going three league games without a win, Stefano Pioli’s men have won each of their last two, beating Parma and Bologna, scoring four goals and conceding two in the process. Such wins aren’t mightily impressive, though they will undoubtedly have helped increase confidence levels.

Home for has been a real issue for Milan this term. They’ve won only two out of seven at San Siro, losing three of the other five. Seven goals for during that time is a poor return, especially when they’ve conceded a total of ten. They’re also surrendered an average of one more shot on target than they’re registering at home. Their numbers need to improve.

Sassuolo turning the corner?

Sassuolo, who’re five points worse off than Milan, are also enduring a poor campaign. They’ve won only four games all season and have won just one of their last six.

That said, they’ve only lost one of their last five, while there’s been some positive signs of late, not least when they held Juventus to a 2-2 draw away from home. They also held Champions League hopefuls Cagliari to a 2-2 draw last time out, so Sunday’s visitors will surely fancy themselves to take something off a Milan side that really isn’t overly strong.

Moreover, Sassuolo are unbeaten in three on the road, beating Verona and drawing with both Lecce and Juventus.

Visitors represent value

The early betting ahead of this match has AC Milan as big favourites, though given the efforts of both, that just doesn’t quite add up. Sassuolo have fought well of late, avoiding defeat against a couple of sides that are undoubtedly better than Milan. On this basis, a punt on ‘Sassuolo +1 Handicap’ stands out as viable option. Moreover, the travelling efforts of Sassuolo have been much the same as Milan’s at home, so it’s hard to see why the hosts are such strong favourites, especially when the visitors have performed marginally better in terms of shots on target. Sassuolo have an average shots on target supremacy of -0.50 on the road, while Milan’s at home is -1.00.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.55

Away win: 5.60

Draw: 4.43

Over 2.5 goals: 1.62

Under 2.5 goals: 2.32