Lille vs Montpellier
Match previewsFriday, 13 Dec 2019 19:45
Lille vs Montpellier Prediction Verdict
After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Lille vs Montpellier this is our Prediction:
Lille for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 54%
No for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 60%.
For Total Goals, we predict Under 2.5, that have a probability of 56%
On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 1-0 which has a percentage of 19%.
Reason For Lille vs Montpellier Betting Tips
Montpellier poor on the road
Montpellier have been in great form recently and showed a lot of their quality in their last match as they hosted champions PSG. They held the lead over the Parisians up until the 74th minute but a flurry of goals from the capital club saw the three points go to PSG. Nevertheless, Montpellier manager Michel Der Zakarian should be proud of his team as they almost snatched an incredible result against the Ligue 1 leaders.
Generally la Paillade have been very impressive over the last few weeks, with their defeat to PSG their first since mid-October. However, just like last season, they are getting too many draws. They have drawn the most matches of teams within the top half and have four in their last eight games, three of which came against extremely beatable opponents like Angers, Dijon and Metz, all teams that finished in the bottom 10 last season.
Montpellier also need to work on their away form, as it has been night and day compared to their performances at the Stade de la Mosson. Montpellier have picked up just five of their 24 points away from home this season and are one of three teams still to win a league game on the road. They’ve scored six and conceded nine in their eight outings and those numbers could get even worse as they travel to a side very accomplished in front of their own fans.
Lille back to focusing on the league
Lille played their final Champions League match of the season on Tuesday as they bowed out with a 2-1 defeat at Chelsea. It was another poor performance from Christophe Galtier’s men as they lost their fifth match in nine games. However, in the league they have had a new lease of life with three wins in their last three games, carrying them up to third.
Les Dogues have had their problems at times this season but in Ligue 1 they have been much more impressive, even more so when at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. Lille are unbeaten in their last 13 home games in the league, with 11 wins along the way making it an extremely impressive record.
Galtier’s men have picked up the most points of all Ligue 1 teams at home this season and sit second for both chances created and least goals conceded.
Lille’s defensive power to shine through?
As a result of this tremendous home form, we’re backing Lille to get the win here. Montpellier have been rather torrid on the road so far and should struggle as they travel to the north of France.
Lille’s defence has been incredible at home recently, with four clean sheets on the bounce in Ligue 1 and, with the last two clashes between these sides ending 0-0 and 1-0 to Lille, we’re backing another tight match here.
We think this will end 1-0 to the hosts. Montpellier have conceded one goal in five of their last eight away games so this seems a reasonable scoreline for our correct score prediction.
Home win: 1.86
Away win: 4.63
Over 2.5 goals: 2.39
Under 2.5 goals: 1.58
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