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Leicester vs Watford

Match previews

Wednesday, 04 Dec 2019 19:30

Our Predictions

Leicester vs Watford Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Leicester vs Watford this is our Prediction:

Leicester for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 73%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 53%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

Reason For Leicester vs Watford Betting Tips

  • Brendan Rodgers faces the side who beat him in his first game as Leicester boss.
  • The Foxes are searching for a record seventh straight win.
  • Since then, Rodgers has turned Jamie Vardy into the league’s top scorer.
  • Watford have conceded 51 goals in 14 meetings with sides in the Premier League’s top three.

Back to the Beginning for Brendan

With rumours swirling about Brendan Rodgers’ future, this is a bit of a milestone for the Northern Irishman. He’s been at the King Power for nine months now, having faced Watford in his first match in charge of the Foxes. On top of that, his managerial career began at Vicarage Road in 2008. The Hornets won 2-1 on the day, but they’ve certainly gone in very different directions since. The Foxes are aiming to match a club record with a seventh straight top-flight victory this week.

Meanwhile, Watford have won just one of their last 18 Premier League games (D6, L11), beating Norwich 2-0 last month. Now they head here chasing back-to-back league victories against Leicester for the first time since April 2013 in the Championship. They need that win after the weekend brought their eighth loss and second managerial sacking of the season. Their 2-1 defeat to Southampton was a bitter blow; now they need to see off the side who beat the Saints 9-0 in October.

Vardy Flying

One big development since that Watford defeat is the revival of Jamie Vardy. Under Rodgers’ watch, the Foxes frontman has become the leading striker in the Premier League. Under his current boss, Vardy has scored 22 league goals. That’s six more than any other player has managed in that time. He’s also topping the scoring charts for the current season, hitting 10 goals in his last eight matches to take control of the golden boot race.

Vardy has scored in each of his last three meetings with Watford, while he has three goals and an assist across four home meetings with the Hornets. His current form suggests he’ll torment the league’s bottom side once again, so we are backing Vardy to score anytime in this clash at the King Power.

Dismal Hornets

Watford are set to have under-23 coach Hayden Mullins in charge for this week’s game, following Quique Sanchez Flores’ departure. The interim boss has a tall order ahead of him, with everything against Watford here. For starters, they’re facing one of the best sides in the league; Watford tend to struggle against the league’s elite.

The visitors have lost their last 14 Premier League matches against teams starting the day in the top three of the division, conceding 51 goals across those defeats. It’s not exactly the best time for them to make this trip, as Watford have never won a Premier League game on a Wednesday, drawing four and losing 11 of their 15 games.

With Leicester having the best shot conversion rate in the division and the second-highest goal tally, they are a serious threat to one of the division’s worst defences. The Foxes have hit 22 goals across their last seven games, while Watford are letting in over two goals per game on average. With 71% of Leicester’s home games seeing at least three goals, a home win and over 2.5 is our tip here.

We see the hosts getting the better of Watford, while we’ve got a 2-1 home victory as our correct score pick. While the low odds on the hosts may point to a huge gulf between these two, Leicester have won 2-1 in 43% of their home matches this season, while the Foxes have scored exactly two goals in four of their last five at home to Watford.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.37

Away win: 8.70

Draw: 5.20

Over 2.5 goals: 1.63

Under 2.5 goals: 2.29