Italian Serie A Italian Serie A

Inter Milan vs Genoa

Match previews

Saturday, 21 Dec 2019 17:00

Our Predictions

Inter Milan vs Genoa Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips's algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Inter Milan vs Genoa this is our Prediction:

Inter Milan for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 73%

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

Reason For Inter Milan vs Genoa Betting Tips

  • Inter need a win after losing ground in the Scudetto race.
  • Genoa head here having failed to win in seven Serie A games.
  • Inter have won their last six home meetings with Genoa.
  • The visitors have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 75% of their trips this term.

Inter Lose Ground

The Serie A title race took another twist last weekend, with Inter Milan dropping points at Fiorentina. It was another unlucky slip for the Nerazzurri, with Antonio Conte once again bemoaning his side’s inability to close out a game. Having dropped four points in the space of a week, Inter were left trailing Juve, albeit with the clubs on the same points total.

The pressure is on Inter to step up this weekend, as they look to end a three-game run without a win. In that time, the Nerazzurri have dropped out of first place in the league and exited the Champions League, so Conte needs his men to make a statement against Genoa.

Visitors in Worrying Slide

Thiago Motta was brought in to turn things around at Genoa, but he could quickly find himself on the way out as it stands. After just eight Serie A games in charge, Motta has seen his men go on a seven-game winless streak in the league. They’ve fallen to 19th in the table, with relegation fears haunting them as we approach the end of 2019.

This form will see Motta out the door unless they turn things around soon. The Grifone have had little patience with managers, while the fact they let Aurelio Andreazzoli stay too long probably counts against his successor. Motta needs to save his managerial career against his former club, but Genoa have reasons to fear Inter. The Nerazzurri were at their best in clashes with the Grifone last season, winning 9-0 on aggregate across the two meetings.

Opportunity for Inter

The hosts may have taken a hit of late, but this clash could put them back on track. Inter head into this game with a six-game winning streak at home to Genoa behind them. The hosts have won five of their last seven in Serie A and we expect them to claim a win against a Genoa side who have lost three of four trips to the top five.

However, Inter’s major issue is at the back. Inter have conceded in nine of their last 11 games, while nine of those 11 have also seen over 2.5 goals scored. Conte’s men have managed one clean sheet in five games here, while Genoa make this trip with 75% of their away games seeing over 2.5 goals. The visitors have lost to five of the top seven, with each of those clashes seeing over 2.5 goals.

We’re backing over 2.5 goals in this meeting, having seen it land in 69% of Inter’s Serie A games. On top of that, we’re also going for a 2-1 home victory, as Inter look to become the latest side to defeat Genoa at home.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.37

Away win: 8.45

Draw: 4.90

Over 2.5 goals: 1.65

Under 2.5 goals: 2.25