Italian Serie A Italian Serie A

Fulham vs Derby

Match previews

Tuesday, 26 Nov 2019 19:45

Our Predictions

Fulham vs Derby Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Fulham vs Derby this is our Prediction:

Fulham for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 63%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 58%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 3-1 which has a percentage of 18%.

Reason For Fulham vs Derby Betting Tips

  • Derby are aiming to force their way into the playoff fight.
  • Fulham have one of the league’s best home records.
  • Derby have lost their last three away games to nil.
  • The visitors have failed to score in all five away defeats this season, losing by two in four of them.

Rams in the Race?

These two sides clash for the first time since the 2018 playoffs, with the pair going on quite the journey since then. The hosts went up to the Premier League and straight back down, while Derby narrowly missed out on the top flight back in May’s playoff final. Ahead of this one, both sides are hoping to be in the playoff mix again, with just five points between them going into this meeting at Craven Cottage.

Derby’s weekend scalp has put them back in the top six picture, as they saw off promotion contenders Preston at the weekend. Now the Rams are only five points shy of a packed top six fight. With Wayne Rooney set to appear from January on, the visitors are looking to stay in reach of the playoffs over the Festive period.

Fulham on a High

While Derby have ambitions, Fulham are on the right track to land their goals. They want promotion by any means, with the Cottagers up to fourth after their Friday night win. The hosts are hoping to cut a five-point gap to the top two this week, with automatic promotion clearly attainable for this talented Fulham side.

While the visitors had their struggles earlier in the campaign, they look good now following back to back victories. They’ve made Craven Cottage key to their promotion bid, with nearly 60% of their points coming at this ground. The Cottagers have the fourth-best home record in the division, something which they’ll be out to extend against the struggling visitors.

Home Comforts

Fulham’s home record should worry Derby, who come here with a poor record behind them. While the Rams are flying at home, they’re coming off three straight defeats on the road. Derby have won none of their last seven trips in the Championship, while their defensive record on their travels is woeful. Having conceded twice in six of their last eight on the road, Derby are too open at the back.

Meanwhile, the Rams have failed to score in their last three trips. They’ve hit just 0.8 goals per game on the road, which has seen them lose by two or more in three of their four away defeats. Fulham have won by two or more in 60% of their home wins, while they were able to see off QPR without top scorer Aleksandar Mitrovic. He’s back this week, which has us backing Fulham with a -1 Asian Handicap. This bet requires the hosts to win by two clear goals, but if they win by one we get a refund.

We’re also backing Fulham to win this clash 2-0 on Tuesday. Each of Derby’s last five matches have seen under 2.5 goals scored, while 2-0 is the only scoreline to occur more than once at Craven Cottage this term. Given Derby’s rate of goals for and against, a 2-0 home win seems like good value as far as we’re concerned.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.60

Away win: 5.30

Draw: 4.05

Over 2.5 goals: 1.69

Under 2.5 goals: 2.19