Costa Rican Primera Division Costa Rican Primera Division

Fiorentina vs Roma

Match previews

Friday, 20 Dec 2019 19:45

Our Predictions

Fiorentina vs Roma Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips's algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Fiorentina vs Roma this is our Prediction:

Roma for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 44%

For Total Goals, we predict Under 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

Reason For Fiorentina vs Roma Betting Tips

  • Roma are now three points clear in fourth and looking to build on that lead.
  • Roma have scored 27 goals in 11 games against sides from ninth and below.
  • The Giallorossi have won four out of five away trips to bottom-half sides.
  • Twelve of Fiorentina’s last 15 home games have seen under 2.5 goals.

Giallorossi go for Fourth

It’s not often Roma have Lazio to thank, but the Giallorossi are clear in fourth thanks to their bitter rivals. Monday night saw Lazio grab a late win at Cagliari, leaving Roma three points clear of the Sardinian side. Roma are making great strides in their push to return to the Champions League, with some good form putting them on the right track.

Fiorentina should be a test for Roma, but the hosts are on a tricky run. Will they manage to make things difficult for the hosts, or could Roma finally gain revenge for their incredible 7-1 hammering when these two last met at the Franchi?

Driven Roma on Form

The visitors have made real progress under Paulo Fonseca this term, with their march continuing in the league and Europa League. The visitors are making strides towards a top-four return, spurred on with a solid recent run. The Giallorossi have won three of their last four matches in the league, which has taken them back into fourth.

Roma are making their way back with a solid record against the sides lower down in the table. They remain unbeaten against sides from eighth down, winning nine of 11 matches. They have scored the majority of their goals in those fixtures too, with 27 of their 29 goals coming in those 11 games. Having scored 12 times in six meetings with Fiorentina, they should add to that here.

Troubles in Florence

The hosts have struggled at home this term, failing to win against any side above 16th in the table. That’s rooted Fiorentina in the bottom half, with their early good form tailing off to leave them in the lower reaches of the table. Fiorentina head here without a win in six, while they’ve failed to win 17 of their last 19 league games at home.

Roma have lost only once on the road this term, with four wins in five clashes against teams in the bottom half. Having impressed versus some of the league’s strugglers, they should beat Fiorentina this week. The hosts have lost four of their last five matches and were lucky not to be beaten by Inter at the weekend, so we are backing Roma for the points here.

The visitors have scored twice in nine of their 11 clashes with teams outside the top eight, scoring 23 times against the bottom-half teams so far. We expect them to rack up another couple here against a Fiorentina side who have seen under 2.5 goals in 12 of their last 15 home matches. That has us backing a 2-0 away win for the Giallorossi this week.

Match Odds

Home win: 3.08

Away win: 2.29

Draw: 3.47

Over 2.5 goals: 1.79

Under 2.5 goals: 2.04