Scottish Premiership Scottish Premiership

Fiorentina vs Lecce

Match previews

Saturday, 30 Nov 2019 19:45

Our Predictions

Fiorentina vs Lecce Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Fiorentina vs Lecce this is our Prediction:

Fiorentina for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 71%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 60%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

Reason For Fiorentina vs Lecce Betting Tips

It’s a real battle between youth and experience on Saturday night when Lecce make this trip to the Franchi. Only AC Milan (24 years and 242 days) have fielded a younger starting line-up on average than Fiorentina (25 years and 263 days) in Serie A this season, whilst only Juventus (29 years and 136 days) have fielded an older line-up than Lecce (29 years and 108 days).

That youthful flair from Fiorentina has helped them to a more positive start to the current campaign. While la Viola are still six points shy of the top six, there is a feeling that they are building towards something now. They may not always be getting the best results, but their attacking approach is bound to please the home support.

Lecce’s players have been dribbled past by an opponent more often than any other side in Serie A in 2019/20 (156 times), whilst only AC Milan (155) and AS Roma (149) have made more dribbles than Fiorentina (146). That’s obviously been helped by the impact of Franck Ribery on a talented, young Fiorentina squad. Expect them to get plenty of joy going forward this weekend.

However, the hosts have got some problems at the back. Fiorentina have conceded more goals (20) in their first 13 matchdays in Serie A this season than in any of their top-flight campaigns at this stage since they returned to the top-flight in 2004/05. They’ve conceded most of those goals from open play, which is a concern given that Lecce have scored 65% of their total goals this season on the road.

That great scoring form from Lecce has seen 80% of their away trips finish with both teams scoring. The visitors have found the net in their last seven in the top flight, while they come into this clash having failed to keep a clean sheet since returning to the top flight. With 69% of Fiorentina’s games seeing both teams score – including three of their last four at home – we are going with BTTS as our pick in this one.

We are also backing the hosts to return to winning ways in this encounter. Fiorentina have won both of their meetings at home to bottom-half sides, while they have claimed 100% of their wins so far against teams from 12th and below. Lecce are unbeaten at home half sides in the top flight, but they’ve lost all three visits to teams in the top half. Following that form and with goals likely here, we’re backing a 2-1 home victory for la Viola.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.45

Away win: 6.80

Draw: 4.67

Over 2.5 goals: 1.52

Under 2.5 goals: 2.56