Eng. Premier League Eng. Premier League

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Match previews

Wednesday, 04 Dec 2019 19:30

Our Predictions

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Chelsea vs Aston Villa this is our Prediction:

Chelsea for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 78%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 57%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 3-2 which has a percentage of 13%.

Reason For Chelsea vs Aston Villa Betting Tips

  • Aston Villa were beaten in five of their seven Premier League away matches this season.
  • Chelsea scored at least twice in eight of their last 13 Premier League fixtures.
  • Over 2.5 goals were scored in 71% of Villa’s Premier League games this term.
  • Chelsea’s league games have averaged 3.42 goals per 90 minutes this season.

Chelsea’s bumpy patch

Chelsea’s stickiest patch of the season hit its stickiest moment at the weekend when the Blues were turned over 1-0 by West Ham in a surprise result at Stamford Bridge.

The reverse meant the Chelsea have won only two of their last seven matches in all competitions and Frank Lampard will need to find a way to drag his team out of a rut if the Blues are to hold off the teams lurking with intent just outside the top four.

Aston Villa should provide stiff opposition for Chelsea after their confidence building draw at Old Trafford on Sunday. With Jack Grealish central, the Villains outplayed United at times on the way to securing a 2-2 draw, and Dean Smith’s men will feel that they are facing Chelsea at a good time.

Chelsea and Villa guarantee excitement

Villa’s high-scoring draw at the Theatre of Dreams was in keeping with the exciting kind of matches they have been serving up for the majority of the season.

Over 2.5 goals were registered in a healthy 71% of Villa’s Premier League matches that term – a percentage that only Liverpool and Arsenal can top, while their both teams to score figure of 64% also places them among the top 10 teams in the division for that metric.

Chelsea’s games haven’t been short on penalty area drama either since the summer, with an average of 3.42 goals plundered per 90 minutes of Blues league action since the summer.

At Stamford Bridge, that average slips back to a much more modest 2.13 goals per game, though we expect Chelsea’s meeting with Aston Villa on Wednesday to drag that figure north.

Aston Villa’s Premier League away games have been incredibly open this season, as evidenced by their most recent outing at Old Trafford, and over 2.5 goals were scored in six of the seven league games they contested away from Villa Park since August, with both teams scoring in five of those matches.

Promising goal-scoring stats

Both Chelsea and Aston Villa tend to play with plenty of attacking intent, and that generally results in space opening up in their own third for teams to expose on the counter.

Man City were the only team to stop Villa from scoring in their last nine Premier League matches, and Dean Smith’s goal-hungry charges registered at least twice in six of those nine fixtures. However, a return of just one clean sheet during the same period shines a light on the topsy-turvy nature of Villa’s performances and results.

Chelsea’s failure to score against West Ham was the first time they failed to get on the scoresheet in 13 Premier League games, and the Blues scored at least twice on eight separate occasions during that run.

Whatever ever lens you view it through, Chelsea’s clash with Villa this week is a game oozing with goal-scoring potential, and with the aforementioned factors considered, we think the over 2.5 goals and both teams to score combination is priced generously for the game.

Our correct score prediction also takes the clubs in question’s excellent attacking productivity and questionable defensive performances into account – and we’re tipping Chelsea to emerge 3-2 victors.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.30

Away win: 9.65

Draw: 5.95

Over 2.5 goals: 1.42

Under 2.5 goals: 2.88