English Championship English Championship

Cardiff vs Millwall

Match previews

Thursday, 26 Dec 2019 15:00

Our Predictions

Cardiff vs Millwall Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips's algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Cardiff vs Millwall this is our Prediction:

Cardiff for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 43%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 55%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 2-1 which has a percentage of 15%.

Reason For Cardiff vs Millwall Betting Tips

  • Cardiff boss Neil Harris faces the side where he made his name as a player and a manager.
  • The hosts have won 7 and lost 1 of their last 11 home games.
  • Cardiff have scored 16 goals in 7 clashes at home to bottom-half sides.
  • Millwall have scored in 91% of their league games.

Harris Faces Familiar Faces

The sides in 12th and 13th in the table clash on Boxing Day, but there’s a much bigger backdrop here. Neil Harris played 380 league games for Millwall across two spells, managing them in 248 matches up to October 2019. He’s since made the move to Cardiff, where he is looking to get the Bluebirds firing again.

The hosts are only four points shy of the playoffs, so it hasn’t been the worst start from Harris so far. He’s led them to two wins in three at home, with Cardiff’s strength this season coming at their own ground. They’ve come through a tough run against some playoff contenders and now the Bluebirds are hoping to put distance between themselves and the side directly behind them.

Harris Hoping for Home Success

While Millwall were Harris’s home for years, he’s now fitting in at the Cardiff City Stadium. He’s had to get to grips with the Welsh capital quickly, as it has been vital for the Bluebirds since relegation. However, he’s managed to keep things ticking over with seven points from three games, meaning Cardiff have only lost one of their last 11 home league games (W7 D3 L1), losing to Bristol City in November.

They’ve had a few tests against sides in and around the top six since that Bristol City loss. The Bluebirds have lost just once in seven after drawing with Preston, beating Nottingham Forest and fighting back to claim a 3-3 draw at Leeds. They have scored 11 times in those seven, while they have hit 16 goals in seven home meetings with bottom-half sides. In fact, Cardiff have scored in all but one of their 12 clashes with bottom 12 sides, including a 2-2 draw with Millwall.

Lions Looking Free

Cardiff are in good scoring form, while Harris left Millwall in a similar position. They have scored in their last 16 Championship games, a streak which runs back to September. The Lions have found the net in each of their last eight away trips, while they have scored in 91% of their league games overall this term. Their only issue comes at the back, having conceded in 83% of their trips.

Millwall have seen both teams score in 70% of their league games this season. It has landed in seven of their last nine matches, while Cardiff have a strong scoring record to back them up here. We expect an open clash between these two, while we’re backing both teams to score based on Millwall’s season so far.

Cardiff have won all of their home clashes with bottom half sides, while their good scoring record should continue here. We expect them to pile onto a Millwall side who have just lost 2-1 at home to a poor Barnsley side, while we expect Cardiff to repeat that scoreline in a victory this week.

Match Odds

Home win: 2.31

Away win: 3.18

Draw: 3.20

Over 2.5 goals: 2.09

Under 2.5 goals: 1.75

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