Italian Serie A Italian Serie A

Cagliari vs Lazio

Match previews

Monday, 16 Dec 2019 19:45

Our Predictions

Cagliari vs Lazio Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Cagliari vs Lazio this is our Prediction:

Lazio for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 54%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 65%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 1-2 which has a percentage of 16%.

Reason For Cagliari vs Lazio Betting Tips

  • Cagliari have lost none of their last 15 matches in all competitions. They’ve won nine of those 14.
  • Only Lazio have scored more home goals than Cagliari in Serie A this season.
  • Lazio are Serie A’s second-best team in terms of shots on target for away from home this term.

Sardegna Arena a tough place to go

After some eye-catching summer recruitment, Cagliari were expected to be a useful side this term, though few people would’ve expected them to do as well as they have. Monday’s hosts find themselves in a lofty 4th place and are there on merit.

Cagliari have been excellent at avoiding defeat on the road, where they’re yet to lose, but they’ve done most of their best work, especially in the final third, when playing at Sardegna Arena, winning five, drawing two and losing one of their eight home league games.

In recent weeks, Sardegna Arena has become a very tough place to go. Cagliari have won each of their last four at home, scoring a whopping 14 goals in the process. They’re also now unbeaten in six in front of a home crowd, five of which they’ve won. Conceding goals has been a bit of a worry – Cagliari are without a clean sheet in three at home and have conceded seven goals in that time – but their ultra-effective forward-line has seen them through.

More of the same for Lazio

Lazio, who’re four point in front of Cagliari, are also enjoying a promising campaign. Like the hosts, Monday’s visitors have done well at home. In fact, they’ve done exceptionally well at home, though that’s not to say that they’ve been ineffective on the road.

Without being as explosive as they have been at Stadio Olimpico, le Aquile have been useful on the road, winning four, drawing two and losing just one of their seven matches away from the comforts of home. They’ve won each of their last three on their travels but have conceded in each of those and are now without a clean sheet in each of their last six travelling matches, which doesn’t exactly bode well ahead of a match against a free-scoring Cagliari side.

Hosts deserve more respect

Given that there is only four points between the pair and given just how tough Cagliari have been to get the better of, Lazio look too short in the early betting. Make no mistake about it, the visitors are a very useful side, but they’re not infallible and crucially, haven’t been anywhere near as good on the road as they have been at home. On this basis, a bet on ‘Cagliari +0.50 Asian Handicap’ is a viable option.

In the ‘Correct Score’ market a 2-2 draw appeals. Both teams are accustomed to scoring multiple goals in their respective home and away games, while neither are used to keeping clean sheets. Moreover, points wise, they’re similar, as Cagliari have taken just a fraction more points at home than the visitors on the road. Their shot numbers are also similar. At home, Cagliari are averaging 5.63 shots on target for, while they’ve conceded an average 4.75. On the road, Lazio are averaging 6.86 for and 5.00 against.

Match Odds

Home win: 3.97

Away win: 1.83

Draw: 4.00

Over 2.5 goals: 1.55

Under 2.5 goals: 2.48