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Brighton vs Bournemouth

Match previews

Saturday, 28 Dec 2019 12:30

Our Predictions

Brighton vs Bournemouth Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips's algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Brighton vs Bournemouth this is our Prediction:

Brighton for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 57%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 55%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 2-1 which has a percentage of 17%

Reason For Brighton vs Bournemouth Betting Tips

  • Bournemouth are unbeaten in their last five league away games against Brighton and have never lost to them in the Premier League.
  • Brighton have won just 4 of their 18 Premier League home games this season.
  • Brighton and Bournemouth have averaged 1.33 and 1.11 goals per game in their respective home and away matches this term.

Seagulls’ home form lets them down in 2019

Brighton failed to capitalise on a first half lead at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Boxing Day as they succumbed to second half pressure from Jose Mourinho’s men, and while that defeat was somewhat expected it still comes with the disappointment of seeing them slip further down the Premier League table.

The Seagulls are now 15th in the table, just two points above the relegation zone and coming into this match on the back of a four match winless streak. They have won just one of their last eight league matches, with only one point from three home fixtures during this period.

Back in their debut Premier League season Brighton were saved from the drop by their excellent home record, but the last year has seen a marked shift in this respect. In fact, Brighton have lost more home Premier League games (nine) in 2019 than any other side. They have won four of their 18 attempts in this period, so it’s safe to say that the Amex Stadium hasn’t been the happiest place to be for the home fans.

Bournemouth form shows signs of improvement

Bournemouth aren’t exactly flying high, with a draw at home to Arsenal on Boxing Day leaving them 16th in the table, trailing Brighton on goals scored. They have only won one of their last eight top flight matches, but they’ll be hoping to end 2019 on a high against a team struggling almost as much as they are.

The Cherries have lost five of their nine Premier League away days this season, but it’s worth noting that four of these defeats came against teams currently residing in the top half of the table. Their other one was against Arsenal, while their three clashes with teams lower than 12th position have seen them collect seven points.

Recent history favours the Cherries

Bournemouth also have a fantastic recent record against Brighton. The Seagulls have never beaten Bournemouth in the Premier League (D1 L3) and are winless in their last five home league games against them. The Cherries are also unbeaten in their last three Premier League away games against fellow south coast sides, so backing a Bournemouth Win or Draw Double Chance here looks a great choice.

Both sides have been struggling going forward this season though. Brighton have averaged 1.33 goals per home game and Bournemouth have averaged 1.11 goals per away game this term, and with three of Brighton’s home games this season ending all square (two being 1-1 draws), we think backing a 1-1 stalemate is worthwhile as well.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.79

Away win: 4.62

Draw: 3.80

Over 2.5 goals: 1.88

Under 2.5 goals: 1.93