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Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen

Match previews

Saturday, 30 Nov 2019 17:30

Our Predictions

Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen this is our Prediction:

Bayern Munich for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 78%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 62%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

Reason For Bayern Munich vs Bayer Leverkusen Betting Tips

Bayern Munich will host Bayer Leverkusen this Saturday evening at the Allianz Arena in Bundesliga action. Bayern will hope to earn their fifth straight win in all competitions in this fixture. They face a struggling Leverkusen side who have won just one of their last six Bundesliga games. 

Bayern have kicked their performance levels up a gear since their former assistant coach Hansi Flick took over as interim head coach of the club, following the departure of Niko Kovac at the beginning of November. Flick couldn’t have asked for a much betterstart than he has enjoyed as Bayern head coach. Bayern have won all four of their games under Flick’s management. Furthermore, Bayern are yet to concede a single goal with Flick as head coach. 

Bayern’s defence has improved immensely under Flick. Their four clean sheets have more than doubled their clean sheets tally for the season. They had accumulated just three under Kovac this season. Bayern have also looked reinvigorated going forward since the departure of Kovac. They have scored a total of 16 goals in their last four competitive games. They have also won each of their last four competitive games by a margin of more than one goal. 

We feel Bayern are likely to extend their current win streak versus Leverkusen this weekend. Bayern have been typically tough to beat at the Allianz Arena this season. They have lost just one of their six Bundesliga home games, winning four.

Meanwhile, Leverkusen have struggled away from home in recent weeks. They have lost four of their last seven competitive away games. Three of these losses came by a margin of more than one goal. Leverkusen have also historically fared poorly on their travels at Bayern, winning just one of their last 15 away games there. This record stretches back as far as 2005. Leverkusen have also lost three of their last four games at the Allianz by more than one goal. 

We feel Leverkusen are likely to struggle versus Bayern at the weekend. Bayern have won 15 of their last 17 home Bundesliga games. Eleven of these 15 wins came by a margin of more than one goal. We feel Bayern are likely to earn another big win in Saturday’s fixture, so we are backing Bayern Munich -1 in this game. 

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Bayern’s last eight Bundesliga home games and Leverkusen are expected to be missing the creativity of Kai Havertz for Saturday’s game. There have also been over 2.5 goals scored in each of the last five meetings between these two teams in all competitions. 

Leverkusen have lost three of their nine competitive away games by a 3-0 scoreline this season. We are therefore backing Bayern to subject them to one more 3-0 loss this weekend.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.30

Away win: 8.70

Draw: 6.00

Over 2.5 goals: 1.34

Under 2.5 goals: 3.32