Spanish Liga Primera Spanish Liga Primera

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna

Match previews

Saturday, 14 Dec 2019 20:00

Our Predictions

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna this is our Prediction:

For Total Goals, we predict Under 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 1-1 which has a percentage of 17%.

Reason For Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna Betting Tips

  • Atletico Madrid head into this weekend’s fixture having won just two of their last nine La Liga games, drawing six.
  • The hosts drawn three of their eight domestic outings at Wanda Metropolitano this season.
  • Osasuna have lost just one of their last seven La Liga matches and have been beaten in just two of their eight starts on the road this term.

Atletico off the pace

A 2-0 success over Lokomotiv Moscow at Wanda Metropolitano on Wednesday night clinched Atletico Madrid’s place in the Last 16 of the Champions League, but domestically they have fallen well off the pace in recent weeks after winning just two of their last nine outings in La Liga.

Last weekend’s 0-0 draw at Villarreal was Atleti’s sixth draw amidst that run and they go into this Saturday’s home clash against Osasuna eight points behind joint leaders Barcelona and Real Madrid, who both also have a game in hand.

Whilst there are still 22 rounds of the season to go, it’s highly unlikely that Diego Simeone’s men will be able to bridge such a significant gap and a top four berth may now be the best that Los Rojiblancos can hope for.

Atleti desperately need a victory against Osasuna here to start moving back  in the right direction after dropping to 7th in the table, but Simeone’s side look far too short in the betting at around the 2/5 mark.

Osasuna showing their mettle

Osasuna clung on for a 1-1 draw against 3rd placed Sevilla at El Sadar last Sunday despite being reduced to ten men 30 minutes from time when Oler saw red, and the performance typified how tough and tenacious Los Rojillos have been since returning to the top flight.

Jagoba Arrasate’s side have lost just three games all season and one from their last seven, whilst they head to Wanda Metropolitano having lost just twice from their eight outings on the road.

With Atleti losing just two of their last 28 La Liga matches at home, it will clearly be a tall order for Osasuna to secure all three points this Saturday considering they have won just five from 16, but their low ratio of defeats this term certainly suggests that they can get something – especially after the number of stalemates posted by the hosts over the past couple of months.

Draw overpriced with Atleti struggling for wins

Based on Atleti’s six draws from nine and Osasuna’s solid record this season, the hosts are too short in the betting for this Matchday 17 contest with the draw looking well overpriced.

Whilst we wouldn’t fully deter punters from backing Osasuna in the double chance market at around 7/4, it makes more sense to back a stalemate for smaller stakes considering Atleti are rarely beaten at Wanda Metropolitano and Osasuna have won just two of their eight away games this season.

Alongside our match betting tip, we’re also going for a 1-1 correct score. The visitors have netted in all but one of their last seven league games, whilst Atleti have conceded in five of their last six. However, Simeone’s side haven’t shipped more than one goal in all of those matches, so if it is to be a draw, 1-1 certainly appeals as the most likely outcome at full time.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.42

Away win: 9.00

Draw: 4.27

Over 2.5 goals: 2.13

Under 2.5 goals: 1.72