Arsenal vs Brighton
Match previewsThursday, 05 Dec 2019 20:15
Arsenal vs Brighton Prediction Verdict
After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Arsenal vs Brighton this is our Prediction:
Arsenal for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 63%
Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 63%.
For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%
On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 3-1 which has a percentage of 18%.
Reason For Arsenal vs Brighton Betting Tips
Defensive weakness continues to blight Gunners
Arsenal’s underwhelming season continued at the weekend, as they drew against strugglers Norwich. It’s now eight games (in all competitions) since the Gunners last tasted victory. It remains to be seen whether things will improve now Unai Emery is no longer in charge, though if the performance at Carrow Road is anything to go by, it’s going to be a while before major improvements occur.
Somewhat surprisingly, Arsenal are yet to lose at home in the Premier League this term, though that hasn’t been for the want of trying. Poor defending has led to the side that currently sits eighth drawing more games than they’ve won. They’ve scored a respectable 13 goals in front of a home crowd but have shipped a rather concerning 10 and have kept just one clean sheet. The fact only four teams in the league have shipped more home goals is worrying.
Brighton look to improve poor away record
Fortunately for Wednesday’s hosts, Brighton rank as the joint-worst travelling team in the division. The Seagulls started the campaign by winning away at Watford, scoring three and conceding none in the process, though they’ve since gone nearly four months without securing a second travelling win.
Like Arsenal at home, Brighton have conceded too many goals on their travels, conceding 13 in seven matches, keeping two clean sheets and conceding two or more in five out of seven, as well as in each of their last four. On a slightly more positive note, Graham Potter’s men have scored in each of their last three away, notching against both Man United and Liverpool, which bodes well ahead of a match against an Arsenal rearguard that is without a clean sheet since the first week of October.
Another high-scoring game on the cards
The performances of both point towards goals, there can be no getting away from that fact. ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’ appears to be a reasonable option for those looking to get involved. Arsenal, who have both scored and conceded in six out of seven at home, have scored plenty on their own patch, but have struggled massively to keep clean sheets, which is why there’s been an average of 3.29 goals at the Emirates this season.
If we combine the goals conceded by Arsenal at home and Brighton on the road, then we also arrive at an average of 3.29. Moreover, Brighton are the second-worst team in the division when it comes to shots on target conceded on the road, while Arsenal are the third-worst Premier League outfit in terms of shots on target conceded at home.
‘Correct Score’ punters are pointed towards a 3-1 win for the hosts. Both teams are defensively weak, but Arsenal’s attacking efforts at home have been superior to Brighton’s on the road. As well as being one of the worst in terms of shots on target conceded at home, they’re also one of the best when it comes to shots on target for. Against a Brighton side that have shipped seven in three on the road, the Gunners, who certainly don’t lack firepower, are backed to outscore their opponents at home for the first time in almost two months.
Home win: 1.63
Away win: 5.00
Over 2.5 goals: 1.52
Under 2.5 goals: 2.56
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