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Ajax vs Willem II

Match previews

Friday, 06 Dec 2019 19:15

Our Predictions

Ajax vs Willem II Prediction Verdict

After a thorough analysis of stats, recent form and H2H through Bettingsuretips´s algorithm, as well as, tipsters advice for the match Ajax vs Willem II this is our Prediction:

Ajax for the Winner of the match, with a probability of 86%

Yes for Both Teams to Score, with a percentage of 55%.

For Total Goals, we predict Over 2.5, that have a probability of 56%

On the risky side, you can try the Correct Score of 3-1 which has a percentage of 19%.

Reason For Ajax vs Willem II Betting Tips

  • Ajax have only lost one and drawn one of their last nineteen matches against Willem II.
  • The hosts top the Eredivisie table by six points and look increasingly likely to claim the title with relative ease this season.
  • Willem II have surprised many with their recent good run of form which has moved them up into the top four.
  • Games between these two teams so often produce goals, with over 3.5 being scored in five of their last six encounters.

Ajax unbeaten at home in the Eredivisie

Ajax have won seven from seven at home in the Eredivisie this season and look unstoppable in their own backyard, while Willem II have lost three of their seven away games which doesn’t bode well ahead of their trickiest away game of the campaign. The hosts have won their last seven matches against Willem II and over 3.5 goals scored in six of the pairs’ last seven encounters, so you can see why we’re backing at least four goals to be scored and Ajax to win on Friday.

Ajax are unbeaten in their last seven matches in all competitions and six of those games have produced over 3.5 goals, while Willem II have only lost one of their last eight matches and over 3.5 goals have been scored in three of their last five matches but have only managed to win one of their last five away games in the Eredivisie and have lost to the likes of Heracles, Utrecht, and Groningen during that away run.

The hosts’ goals record suggest they won’t be beaten at home

Ajax average 3.00 points per home game and Willem II average 1.43 points per away game, and with the hosts averaging 4.00 goals scored per home game and concede an average of just 0.29 goals and their guests scoring an average of 1.57 goals per away game and conceding an average of 2.00 goals, you can see why a 3-1 home win looks a realistic possibility on Friday.

Ajax’s home games produced an average of 4.29 goals and Willem II’s away games produced an average of 3.57 goals, all of which adds weight to our prediction for Friday’s clash, while over 3.5 goals have been scored in 86% of Ajax’s home games as well as in 57% of Willem II’s away games.

Willem II are playing well but Ajax are playing even better

Both teams have scored in 29% of Ajax’s home games and in 57% of Willem II’s away games but the hosts have scored in 71% of their games on the road which is why we have backed Willem II to score once in Amsterdam. We’re confident that over 3.5 goals will be scored in Friday nights’ match and we have predicted a final scoreline of 3-1 in favour of Ajax. The hosts head into the game as the form favourites though Willem II are also playing very well right not, but Ajax have a 100% record at home and score an average of four goals per home game and we can’t see Willem II surviving the kind of onslaught expected in Amsterdam.

Match Odds

Home win: 1.12

Away win: 17.75

Draw: 9.30

Over 2.5 goals: 1.24

Under 2.5 goals: 4.10